Archives: Scenarios


April 14, 2016

Scenario FIVE

In 2020 wearable devices won’t care about how many steps you take; they will care about your real-time emotional state. Whether for blackmail, “revenge porn,” or other motives, cybercriminals and hostile governments find new ways to exploit data about emotion. . . .

April 14, 2016

Scenario FOUR

In 2020, the Internet of Things (IoT) is a profound social force that proves powerful in addressing problems in education, the environment, health, work productivity, and personal well-being. Because the IoT is everywhere, cybersecurity becomes just “security” and essential to daily life. . . .

April 14, 2016

Scenario THREE

Two decades after the first dot-com bubble burst, the advertising-driven business model for major internet companies falls apart. As overvalued web companies large and small collapse, criminals and companies alike race to gain ownership of underpriced but potentially valuable data assets. . . .

April 14, 2016

Scenario TWO

Data scientists of 2020 have developed profoundly powerful models capable of predicting—and manipulating—the behavior of single individuals with a high degree of accuracy. For those responsible for cybersecurity, the stakes have never been higher. . . .

April 14, 2016

Scenario ONE

Following years of mounting data breaches, internet users in 2020 now assume that their data will be stolen and their personal information broadcast. Law enforcement struggles to keep pace as larger-scale attacks continue, and small-scale cyberattacks become entirely commonplace—and more personal. . . .